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In a recent analysis, Cowen noted that despite SOL’s impressive gains through Q1 2024, it has yet to reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the current bull market. He emphasized the importance of SOL’s performance against Bitcoin, suggesting that while SOL has made strides against Ethereum, it hasn’t yet broken out against Bitcoin in the same way.
Cowen pointed out that altcoins like SOL tend to fluctuate against Bitcoin, with the potential to break out during bullish phases. He drew parallels to past behavior seen in ETH/BTC, where the pair formed four peaks before declining and later rebounding strongly. Cowen speculated that SOL/BTC might follow a similar pattern, possibly experiencing a dip before making a significant move against Bitcoin.
The upcoming Federal Reserve policies could also influence SOL’s price movements, much like past economic events have impacted the broader crypto market. However, it’s important to remember that SOL/BTC reflects Solana’s strength relative to Bitcoin, not its overall market value. This means that even if SOL/BTC declines, SOL’s value could still rise during a general crypto market rally, where altcoins often follow Bitcoin’s lead but at varying paces.